Bhutan Rate of Natural Increase

The rate of natural increase (RNI) in Bhutan, which measures the difference between birth and death rates excluding migration, is relatively modest compared to some of its neighboring countries. As of recent estimates, Bhutan's RNI hovers around 1.1% per year, reflecting a steady but not rapid population growth. This rate is lower than that of India, whose RNI is approximately 1.5%, but higher than China, which has seen its RNI drop close to zero or even negative in some years due to declining birth rates and an aging population. Nepal, another neighbor, has an RNI similar to Bhutan’s, at about 1.2%. These differences highlight Bhutan’s position as a country with moderate natural population growth, shaped by successful health interventions, improving education, and family planning initiatives, while also reflecting broader demographic transitions occurring across South Asia.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19502.543163,786
19552.585186,282
19602.596212,052
19652.849254,722
19703.003312,543
19753.035381,119
19803.02461,027
19852.879551,993
19902.636646,343
19952.083606,676
20001.779653,997
20051.472709,325
20101.268759,415
20151.131806,078
20201.015850,853
20240.945884,546
20250.93892,877
20260.912901,139
20300.811932,691
20350.695968,448
20400.579999,784
20450.4691,026,298
20500.3471,047,471
20550.2231,062,567
20600.0891,070,911
2065-0.0491,071,954
2070-0.1821,065,702
2075-0.2971,052,899
2080-0.3831,035,011
2085-0.4371,013,893
2090-0.462991,278
2095-0.471968,379
2100-0.479945,647

Data from US Census International Database