Sierra Leone Rate of Natural Increase

Sierra Leone’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between its crude birth rate and crude death rate—remains relatively high, reflecting a youthful population and ongoing demographic transition. As of recent estimates, Sierra Leone’s RNI is around 2.2% per year, driven by a high birth rate (about 34 births per 1,000 people) and a declining, but still significant, death rate (about 12 deaths per 1,000 people). Compared to its neighbors, Sierra Leone’s RNI is slightly lower than Guinea’s (approximately 2.5%) and Liberia’s (around 2.4%), both of which also experience high fertility rates and similar mortality patterns. However, all three countries share the common challenge of improving health outcomes and reducing mortality, which would further lower their death rates and potentially increase their RNIs in the short term. In contrast, countries further along the demographic transition, such as Ghana or Côte d’Ivoire, have somewhat lower RNIs due to declining birth rates and improved health systems. Overall, Sierra Leone’s RNI reflects both its progress in reducing mortality and the persistent high fertility typical of many West African nations.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19751.93,036,737
19801.9913,376,787
19852.2623,787,642
19902.4484,359,370
19952.3934,114,221
20002.4344,184,096
20052.4065,271,649
20102.5496,121,737
20152.587,150,013
20202.3888,256,139
20242.1799,121,049
20252.1249,331,203
20262.0799,539,924
20301.88910,371,910
20351.69211,399,388
20401.52212,409,339
20451.37713,398,620
20501.22914,356,255
20551.11515,277,606
20600.9916,157,181
20650.86716,978,613
20700.74717,730,554
20750.63218,405,056
20800.52318,996,492
20850.41719,500,818
20900.31619,914,461
20950.21620,233,769
21000.1220,457,128

Data from US Census International Database