The Bahamas Rate of Natural Increase

The rate of natural increase (RNI) in The Bahamas, which measures the difference between birth and death rates excluding migration, is relatively low compared to some of its Caribbean neighbors. As of recent estimates, The Bahamas has an RNI of approximately 0.7% per year, reflecting modest population growth driven by declining fertility rates and increasing life expectancy. In contrast, Haiti, which shares the region, has a higher RNI of about 1.3%, fueled by higher birth rates despite significant emigration. On the other hand, countries like Cuba and Barbados have even lower RNIs, with Cuba experiencing near-zero or even negative natural increase due to very low fertility rates and an aging population. Thus, The Bahamas sits in the middle range for the region, with its RNI indicating moderate natural population growth compared to its neighbors, shaped by its economic development and demographic trends.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19801.754209,760
19851.485228,218
19901.683245,237
19951.493266,194
20001.397286,562
20050.994304,045
20100.948319,159
20150.914334,403
20200.865349,655
20240.779361,352
20250.756364,136
20260.732366,854
20300.634377,025
20350.511387,949
20400.399396,840
20450.299403,808
20500.206408,923
20550.122412,263
20600.054414,047
20650.005414,624
2070-0.031414,348
2075-0.066413,355
2080-0.106411,592
2085-0.151408,953
2090-0.192405,449
2095-0.222401,244
2100-0.247396,567

Data from US Census International Database