The rate of natural increase (RNI) in The Bahamas, which measures the difference between birth and death rates excluding migration, is relatively low compared to some of its Caribbean neighbors. As of recent estimates, The Bahamas has an RNI of approximately 0.7% per year, reflecting modest population growth driven by declining fertility rates and increasing life expectancy. In contrast, Haiti, which shares the region, has a higher RNI of about 1.3%, fueled by higher birth rates despite significant emigration. On the other hand, countries like Cuba and Barbados have even lower RNIs, with Cuba experiencing near-zero or even negative natural increase due to very low fertility rates and an aging population. Thus, The Bahamas sits in the middle range for the region, with its RNI indicating moderate natural population growth compared to its neighbors, shaped by its economic development and demographic trends.
Year | Rate of Natural Increase | Population |
---|---|---|
1980 | 1.754 | 209,760 |
1985 | 1.485 | 228,218 |
1990 | 1.683 | 245,237 |
1995 | 1.493 | 266,194 |
2000 | 1.397 | 286,562 |
2005 | 0.994 | 304,045 |
2010 | 0.948 | 319,159 |
2015 | 0.914 | 334,403 |
2020 | 0.865 | 349,655 |
2024 | 0.779 | 361,352 |
2025 | 0.756 | 364,136 |
2026 | 0.732 | 366,854 |
2030 | 0.634 | 377,025 |
2035 | 0.511 | 387,949 |
2040 | 0.399 | 396,840 |
2045 | 0.299 | 403,808 |
2050 | 0.206 | 408,923 |
2055 | 0.122 | 412,263 |
2060 | 0.054 | 414,047 |
2065 | 0.005 | 414,624 |
2070 | -0.031 | 414,348 |
2075 | -0.066 | 413,355 |
2080 | -0.106 | 411,592 |
2085 | -0.151 | 408,953 |
2090 | -0.192 | 405,449 |
2095 | -0.222 | 401,244 |
2100 | -0.247 | 396,567 |
Data from US Census International Database