Tanzania Rate of Natural Increase

Tanzania’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between its crude birth rate and crude death rate, expressed as a percentage—is notably high, reflecting rapid population growth. As of recent estimates, Tanzania’s RNI stands at approximately 2.8% per year, driven by a high birth rate and a gradually declining death rate due to improvements in healthcare. When compared to its neighbors, Tanzania’s RNI is similar to that of Uganda (around 2.9%) and slightly higher than Kenya (about 2.1%) and Rwanda (2.2%). In contrast, countries like Burundi have an RNI close to Tanzania’s, while Mozambique and Zambia also exhibit high rates, though generally slightly lower. These similarities and differences are influenced by varying levels of fertility, access to healthcare, and socio-economic conditions across the region. Overall, Tanzania’s RNI positions it among the faster-growing populations in East Africa, contributing to significant demographic and developmental implications.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19802.82318,654,562
19852.82621,501,733
19902.85824,873,121
19952.78129,245,338
20002.91733,494,079
20052.96238,730,523
20103.03844,520,989
20153.05551,891,917
20202.88860,362,612
20242.75667,462,121
20252.72369,311,326
20262.69571,191,205
20302.57979,022,692
20352.43689,502,233
20402.269100,625,421
20452.11112,240,774
20501.949124,222,573
20551.821136,504,805
20601.685149,012,254
20651.546161,554,553
20701.405173,926,608
20751.261185,911,191
20801.115197,288,565
20850.969207,838,092
20900.818217,334,854
20950.665225,546,507
21000.507232,250,531

Data from US Census International Database