Guyana Rate of Natural Increase

Guyana’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between its crude birth rate and crude death rate—has historically been modest compared to its South American neighbors. As of recent estimates, Guyana’s RNI hovers around 0.7% per year, reflecting a relatively low birth rate and a moderate death rate. In contrast, neighboring Suriname and Brazil both exhibit slightly higher RNIs, with Suriname’s rate around 1.0% and Brazil’s close to 0.6%. Venezuela, despite its ongoing economic and political crises, still maintains a higher RNI of about 1.2%, primarily due to a higher birth rate, though this is declining. Unlike its neighbors, Guyana’s population growth is further dampened by significant net emigration, which means its overall population growth rate is even lower than its RNI suggests. This combination of moderate natural increase and high out-migration distinguishes Guyana from its regional peers, where population growth is more heavily driven by natural increase.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19801.832759,352
19852.039760,713
19901.59772,350
19951.926755,275
20002.255783,059
20051.584792,905
20101.119786,937
20150.959785,140
20200.967786,653
20240.972794,099
20250.963796,742
20260.957799,675
20300.884813,805
20350.73830,909
20400.533840,800
20450.411843,985
20500.362843,728
20550.308841,427
20600.235836,501
20650.134827,851
20700.01814,441
2075-0.117795,910
2080-0.248772,364
2085-0.382744,009
2090-0.506711,359
2095-0.597675,704
2100-0.643638,753

Data from US Census International Database