Cabo Verde Rate of Natural Increase

Cabo Verde’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between its crude birth rate and crude death rate—has been relatively modest compared to many of its West African neighbors. As of the early 2020s, Cabo Verde’s RNI hovers around 1.6% per year, reflecting its lower birth rates and improving health outcomes. In contrast, nearby countries on the African mainland, such as Senegal, Guinea-Bissau, and The Gambia, typically exhibit higher RNIs, often exceeding 2.5% annually, driven by higher fertility rates and younger populations. Cabo Verde’s slower RNI is partly due to its higher urbanization, better access to healthcare, and significant emigration, which have contributed to declining fertility and mortality rates. This demographic trend sets Cabo Verde apart from its neighbors, whose populations are growing more rapidly and are generally younger, while Cabo Verde’s population growth is more moderate and its demographic profile is gradually aging.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19803.091296,446
19853.113316,887
19902.929339,756
19952.539385,425
20002.018430,132
20051.708470,564
20101.512508,410
20151.405545,302
20201.315582,153
20241.213611,014
20251.178618,014
20261.148624,895
20301.015651,173
20350.854680,565
20400.712705,949
20450.595727,635
20500.483745,776
20550.362759,984
20600.237769,753
20650.109774,737
2070-0.02774,740
2075-0.138769,930
2080-0.24760,900
2085-0.318748,568
2090-0.377733,901
2095-0.425717,606
2100-0.473699,998

Data from US Census International Database