Belize Rate of Natural Increase

Belize’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between birth and death rates—has historically been moderate compared to its Central American neighbors. As of recent estimates, Belize’s RNI hovers around 1.5% per year, reflecting a birth rate of approximately 20 per 1,000 and a death rate near 5 per 1,000. This rate is lower than that of Guatemala, its western neighbor, which has one of the highest RNIs in the region at about 2.0–2.3%, driven by higher fertility rates and a younger population. To the north, Mexico’s RNI is closer to 1.0%, indicating a slower natural population growth, largely due to declining fertility and a more mature demographic profile. Compared to Honduras, which also borders Guatemala and has an RNI around 1.6–1.8%, Belize’s RNI is slightly lower but still reflects a relatively young and growing population. Overall, Belize’s natural increase is moderate, positioned between the higher rates of Guatemala and Honduras and the lower rate of Mexico, illustrating both regional similarities and differences in demographic trends.

Data from US Census International Database