Barbados Rate of Natural Increase

Barbados has a low rate of natural increase (RNI), reflecting both a declining birth rate and a relatively low death rate, resulting in slow population growth. As of recent estimates, Barbados' RNI is close to zero or even slightly negative, indicating that the number of births barely exceeds, or sometimes falls below, the number of deaths. In comparison, neighboring Caribbean countries such as Saint Lucia and Grenada generally have slightly higher RNIs, though these too are modest compared to global averages, due to similar demographic trends like aging populations and lower fertility rates. However, some other nearby nations, such as Trinidad and Tobago, also experience low or negative RNIs, largely due to emigration and declining birth rates. Overall, Barbados’ RNI is among the lowest in the Caribbean, highlighting broader regional challenges related to population aging and migration.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19800.942251,966
19850.899257,344
19900.894262,442
19950.479268,131
20000.532274,880
20050.561282,477
20100.493289,599
20150.42295,878
20200.325301,001
20240.253304,139
20250.234304,794
20260.212305,388
20300.128307,119
20350.006307,710
2040-0.123306,371
2045-0.244303,116
2050-0.339298,257
2055-0.4292,316
2060-0.427285,866
2065-0.436279,313
2070-0.438272,836
2075-0.443266,442
2080-0.453260,087
2085-0.463253,739
2090-0.466247,477
2095-0.468241,312
2100-0.477235,241

Data from US Census International Database