Togo’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between its crude birth rate and crude death rate—remains relatively high, reflecting the country’s youthful population and ongoing demographic transition. As of 2023, Togo’s RNI is approximately 2.5% per year, indicating robust population growth. This rate is similar to that of neighboring Benin, which also has an RNI around 2.7%, and Ghana, whose RNI is slightly lower at about 2.1%. In contrast, Burkina Faso, to the north, has a somewhat higher RNI of about 2.7%, while Côte d’Ivoire’s RNI is close to Togo’s at around 2.4%. These similarities and slight differences highlight a regional pattern of high natural increase driven by elevated birth rates and gradually declining death rates, although variations in health infrastructure, family planning, and economic conditions contribute to the nuanced differences among these West African countries.
| Year | Rate of Natural Increase | Population |
|---|---|---|
| 1985 | 3.554 | 3,061,353 |
| 1990 | 3.469 | 3,656,690 |
| 1995 | 3.121 | 4,097,531 |
| 2000 | 2.966 | 4,779,045 |
| 2005 | 3.005 | 5,400,230 |
| 2010 | 3.03 | 6,178,252 |
| 2015 | 2.909 | 7,092,156 |
| 2020 | 2.734 | 8,076,517 |
| 2024 | 2.586 | 8,917,994 |
| 2025 | 2.551 | 9,134,446 |
| 2026 | 2.519 | 9,353,395 |
| 2030 | 2.401 | 10,255,480 |
| 2035 | 2.281 | 11,447,738 |
| 2040 | 2.148 | 12,708,399 |
| 2045 | 1.994 | 14,015,458 |
| 2050 | 1.838 | 15,344,759 |
| 2055 | 1.711 | 16,688,672 |
| 2060 | 1.583 | 18,041,362 |
| 2065 | 1.454 | 19,384,575 |
| 2070 | 1.32 | 20,697,334 |
| 2075 | 1.184 | 21,955,602 |
| 2080 | 1.045 | 23,134,793 |
| 2085 | 0.904 | 24,211,758 |
| 2090 | 0.76 | 25,162,912 |
| 2095 | 0.61 | 25,962,541 |
| 2100 | 0.453 | 26,584,247 |
Data from US Census International Database