Sao Tome and Principe Rate of Natural Increase

São Tomé and Príncipe’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between its crude birth and death rates—remains relatively high compared to many countries, reflecting its youthful population and elevated fertility rates. As of 2023, São Tomé and Príncipe’s RNI is estimated at around 2.3% per year, with a crude birth rate of about 30 per 1,000 and a crude death rate of roughly 7 per 1,000. Compared to its mainland neighbors, such as Gabon and Equatorial Guinea, São Tomé and Príncipe’s RNI is slightly higher; Gabon’s RNI is about 2.0% and Equatorial Guinea’s is approximately 2.2%. While all three countries share relatively high birth rates typical of Central Africa, São Tomé and Príncipe’s smaller population and lower mortality rates contribute to its marginally higher RNI. In contrast, countries like Cameroon and Nigeria, though not immediate neighbors but regionally relevant, tend to have even higher RNIs due to larger populations and higher fertility rates. Overall, São Tomé and Príncipe’s population is growing rapidly, but its RNI is moderate within the context of Central Africa, reflecting ongoing demographic transitions in the region.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19852.73104,186
19902.876115,933
19953.133127,140
20003.393140,686
20053.334157,493
20103.056175,718
20152.686193,789
20202.323210,728
20242.07223,561
20252.003226,722
20261.958229,875
20301.749242,511
20351.557258,415
20401.374274,531
20451.198290,654
20501.032306,603
20550.891321,686
20600.761335,227
20650.646347,217
20700.54357,670
20750.435366,518
20800.324373,549
20850.204378,507
20900.086381,243
2095-0.018381,858
2100-0.104380,660

Data from US Census International Database