Samoa Rate of Natural Increase

The rate of natural increase (RNI) in Samoa, which measures the difference between birth rates and death rates, is moderate compared to its Pacific neighbors. As of recent estimates, Samoa’s RNI is around 1.3% per year, reflecting a relatively high birth rate and a declining but still significant death rate. This rate is somewhat lower than that of nearby countries such as Tonga and the Solomon Islands, which have RNIs closer to 1.5%–2%, due to their slightly higher fertility rates and younger populations. In contrast, Fiji’s RNI is similar to or slightly lower than Samoa’s, as Fiji has experienced a greater decline in birth rates and increased emigration. Overall, while Samoa's population is still growing naturally, its RNI is moderate for the region, indicating a gradual demographic transition compared to some of its neighbors who are still experiencing faster natural population growth.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19852.865160,737
19902.826162,834
19952.643168,887
20002.429176,209
20052.291184,491
20101.756192,001
20151.549197,752
20201.41203,662
20241.341208,853
20251.312210,223
20261.295211,619
20301.186217,452
20351.03224,906
20400.861232,248
20450.721239,456
20500.627246,912
20550.555254,305
20600.484261,007
20650.4266,862
20700.304271,614
20750.202275,066
20800.103277,157
20850.013277,946
2090-0.066277,546
2095-0.127276,178
2100-0.174274,079

Data from US Census International Database