Saint Pierre and Miquelon Rate of Natural Increase

Saint Pierre and Miquelon, a small French territorial collectivity off the coast of Newfoundland, Canada, has a notably low rate of natural increase (RNI) in its population. The territory’s RNI is close to zero or even negative in recent years, primarily due to low birth rates and an aging population, with deaths often outnumbering births. In contrast, neighboring Canada, while also experiencing a declining RNI, still maintains a slightly positive rate, thanks in part to higher birth rates and significant immigration, which offsets natural decrease. The nearby French overseas territory of Saint Pierre and Miquelon, unlike Canada, does not benefit from substantial immigration to counterbalance its demographic trends. Compared to the United States, which has a higher RNI than both Saint Pierre and Miquelon and Canada, the differences are even more pronounced, as the U.S. population continues to grow at a modest pace due to both natural increase and immigration. Thus, Saint Pierre and Miquelon’s demographic situation is characterized by stagnation or decline, setting it apart from its larger and more dynamic neighbors.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19851.2676,158
19900.576,322
19950.396,405
20000.4366,419
20050.2416,224
20100.0165,976
2015-0.1935,692
2020-0.4085,384
2024-0.5265,132
2025-0.5525,070
2026-0.5795,008
2030-0.6934,767
2035-0.8274,475
2040-0.9784,194
2045-1.1193,930
2050-1.2483,685
2055-1.3023,457
2060-1.3293,237
2065-1.2873,031
2070-1.1942,848
2075-1.0032,692
2080-0.8582,566
2085-0.7712,464
2090-0.6312,380
2095-0.6072,308
2100-0.6252,240

Data from US Census International Database