Saint Barthelemy Rate of Natural Increase

Saint Barthelemy, a small French overseas collectivity in the Caribbean, experiences a relatively low rate of natural increase (RNI) in its population growth. The RNI, which is the difference between the crude birth rate and crude death rate, is close to zero or even slightly negative in Saint Barthelemy due to its low birth rates and an aging population. In contrast, many of its neighboring Caribbean countries, such as Saint Martin and Saint Kitts and Nevis, tend to have higher RNIs, driven by higher birth rates and younger populations. However, like much of the Caribbean, these neighboring islands are also seeing a gradual decline in RNI as fertility rates fall and populations age. Unlike some larger Caribbean nations, Saint Barthelemy’s population growth is more influenced by migration than by natural increase, making its demographic trends distinct from its neighbors, where natural increase still plays a more significant role in population growth.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19851.2463,933
19901.2685,047
19951.1076,145
20000.9837,121
20050.7657,580
20100.4187,405
20150.2077,240
20200.0717,131
2024-0.0157,086
2025-0.0437,079
2026-0.0577,073
2030-0.1427,048
2035-0.36,997
2040-0.4056,915
2045-0.4846,818
2050-0.5056,721
2055-0.4826,636
2060-0.4426,571
2065-0.3686,529
2070-0.2926,515
2075-0.2146,526
2080-0.1836,553
2085-0.1676,590
2090-0.1666,627
2095-0.186,667
2100-0.1646,702

Data from US Census International Database