Peru Rate of Natural Increase

The rate of natural increase (RNI) in Peru, which measures population growth by subtracting the death rate from the birth rate (excluding migration), has been gradually declining in recent years but remains moderate compared to its neighbors. As of the early 2020s, Peru’s RNI is around 1.1% per year, reflecting a steady but slowing population growth due to decreasing fertility rates and improving health outcomes. In comparison, Bolivia and Ecuador generally exhibit slightly higher RNIs, often above 1.3%, owing to higher fertility rates and younger populations. Conversely, Chile and Brazil have lower RNIs, with Chile’s rate dropping below 0.5% and Brazil’s nearing 0.6%, as both countries experience aging populations and birth rates at or near replacement level. Thus, while Peru’s RNI is not the highest in the region, it is still above the South American average, indicating ongoing demographic transition but at a different pace than its neighbors.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19852.22521,118,480
19902.23926,164,684
19951.96123,793,346
20001.74725,790,651
20051.80327,927,745
20101.68629,347,898
20151.43830,056,046
20200.68431,867,270
20240.58432,600,249
20250.66432,768,614
20260.7432,959,113
20300.933,866,950
20350.89335,145,177
20400.75136,309,846
20450.61637,265,524
20500.46337,977,511
20550.3238,420,861
20600.18538,600,576
20650.07138,540,679
2070-0.03238,272,484
2075-0.12737,815,977
2080-0.21537,189,852
2085-0.29736,413,353
2090-0.3835,498,916
2095-0.45634,462,700
2100-0.53233,321,119

Data from US Census International Database