Kiribati Rate of Natural Increase

Kiribati’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between its crude birth rate and crude death rate—remains relatively high compared to some of its Pacific neighbors. As of the early 2020s, Kiribati’s RNI is approximately 1.5% per year, reflecting a birth rate of around 22 per 1,000 people and a death rate of about 7 per 1,000. This rate is higher than that of Fiji, whose RNI is closer to 0.8%, due to Fiji’s lower birth rate and slightly higher death rate. However, Kiribati’s RNI is somewhat lower than the Solomon Islands, where the RNI hovers around 2.1%, driven by a higher fertility rate. In contrast, developed neighbors like Australia and New Zealand have much lower RNIs (often below 0.5%), primarily due to lower birth rates and aging populations. These differences highlight how Kiribati, like many small Pacific island nations, continues to experience moderate natural population growth, while other countries in the region are seeing slower increases or even stagnation due to demographic transitions.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19852.73762,034
19902.67671,338
19952.49476,665
20002.35485,314
20051.91192,798
20101.54299,664
20151.416105,813
20201.34111,814
20241.278116,545
20251.252117,702
20261.237118,850
20301.125123,278
20350.979128,289
20400.85132,560
20450.748136,164
20500.671139,289
20550.589142,036
20600.498144,299
20650.39145,969
20700.277146,921
20750.176147,099
20800.092146,602
20850.027145,583
2090-0.026144,182
2095-0.067142,502
2100-0.107140,585

Data from US Census International Database