Israel Rate of Natural Increase

Israel’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between its crude birth and death rates, expressed as a percentage—is notably high compared to many developed countries, standing at approximately 1.5% to 1.7% in recent years. This relatively robust RNI is driven by a high birth rate, especially among certain population groups such as the Jewish Orthodox and Arab communities, and a relatively low death rate due to advanced healthcare. When compared to its neighbors, Israel’s RNI is lower than that of some countries like Egypt (about 1.7%–2.0%) and Jordan (around 1.5%–2.0%), but higher than Lebanon, which has seen its RNI drop close to zero or even negative in recent years due to economic crisis and emigration. Israel’s RNI is also higher than that of more developed regional countries such as Turkey, where the RNI is below 1%. Thus, Israel’s population continues to grow at a steady pace, though the rate is moderate compared to some neighbors, reflecting both its unique demographic structure and the broader regional trends.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19851.6584,048,540
19901.5994,459,119
19951.5195,333,911
20001.596,094,987
20051.5196,718,568
20101.6557,352,652
20151.3348,029,883
20201.2588,659,792
20241.2169,172,603
20251.2079,302,514
20261.1979,433,078
20301.1619,962,165
20351.10610,637,373
20401.01211,309,911
20450.89611,954,993
20500.79812,563,059
20550.72413,140,844
20600.66113,695,173
20650.59414,223,386
20700.51714,715,528
20750.43615,161,577
20800.35815,556,294
20850.28315,898,206
20900.20816,185,250
20950.12816,412,716
21000.04516,574,215

Data from US Census International Database