Israel’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between its crude birth and death rates, expressed as a percentage—is notably high compared to many developed countries, standing at approximately 1.5% to 1.7% in recent years. This relatively robust RNI is driven by a high birth rate, especially among certain population groups such as the Jewish Orthodox and Arab communities, and a relatively low death rate due to advanced healthcare. When compared to its neighbors, Israel’s RNI is lower than that of some countries like Egypt (about 1.7%–2.0%) and Jordan (around 1.5%–2.0%), but higher than Lebanon, which has seen its RNI drop close to zero or even negative in recent years due to economic crisis and emigration. Israel’s RNI is also higher than that of more developed regional countries such as Turkey, where the RNI is below 1%. Thus, Israel’s population continues to grow at a steady pace, though the rate is moderate compared to some neighbors, reflecting both its unique demographic structure and the broader regional trends.
Year | Rate of Natural Increase | Population |
---|---|---|
1985 | 1.658 | 4,048,540 |
1990 | 1.599 | 4,459,119 |
1995 | 1.519 | 5,333,911 |
2000 | 1.59 | 6,094,987 |
2005 | 1.519 | 6,718,568 |
2010 | 1.655 | 7,352,652 |
2015 | 1.334 | 8,029,883 |
2020 | 1.258 | 8,659,792 |
2024 | 1.216 | 9,172,603 |
2025 | 1.207 | 9,302,514 |
2026 | 1.197 | 9,433,078 |
2030 | 1.161 | 9,962,165 |
2035 | 1.106 | 10,637,373 |
2040 | 1.012 | 11,309,911 |
2045 | 0.896 | 11,954,993 |
2050 | 0.798 | 12,563,059 |
2055 | 0.724 | 13,140,844 |
2060 | 0.661 | 13,695,173 |
2065 | 0.594 | 14,223,386 |
2070 | 0.517 | 14,715,528 |
2075 | 0.436 | 15,161,577 |
2080 | 0.358 | 15,556,294 |
2085 | 0.283 | 15,898,206 |
2090 | 0.208 | 16,185,250 |
2095 | 0.128 | 16,412,716 |
2100 | 0.045 | 16,574,215 |
Data from US Census International Database