Grenada Rate of Natural Increase

Grenada’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between its crude birth rate and crude death rate—has been modest in recent years, typically hovering just above zero or even dipping slightly negative, reflecting low birth rates and a gradually aging population. Compared to its Eastern Caribbean neighbors, Grenada’s RNI is similar to that of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines and Saint Lucia, which also experience low or near-zero natural increase due to declining fertility rates and steady emigration. In contrast, countries like Trinidad and Tobago and Barbados have even lower, sometimes negative, RNIs, largely because of lower birth rates and higher proportions of elderly residents. Overall, Grenada’s RNI mirrors the demographic trends of the wider Caribbean, where population growth is increasingly shaped by migration rather than natural increase.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19852.46593,059
19901.74194,204
19951.51397,743
20001.148101,608
20050.928104,588
20100.951107,862
20150.791110,779
20200.631113,165
20240.493114,621
20250.459114,915
20260.42115,177
20300.284115,917
20350.162116,330
20400.081116,418
20450.009116,313
2050-0.048116,072
2055-0.103115,633
2060-0.157114,879
2065-0.217113,808
2070-0.277112,405
2075-0.336110,685
2080-0.372108,723
2085-0.393106,648
2090-0.393104,562
2095-0.404102,507
2100-0.433100,392

Data from US Census International Database