Grenada’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between its crude birth rate and crude death rate—has been modest in recent years, typically hovering just above zero or even dipping slightly negative, reflecting low birth rates and a gradually aging population. Compared to its Eastern Caribbean neighbors, Grenada’s RNI is similar to that of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines and Saint Lucia, which also experience low or near-zero natural increase due to declining fertility rates and steady emigration. In contrast, countries like Trinidad and Tobago and Barbados have even lower, sometimes negative, RNIs, largely because of lower birth rates and higher proportions of elderly residents. Overall, Grenada’s RNI mirrors the demographic trends of the wider Caribbean, where population growth is increasingly shaped by migration rather than natural increase.
Year | Rate of Natural Increase | Population |
---|---|---|
1985 | 2.465 | 93,059 |
1990 | 1.741 | 94,204 |
1995 | 1.513 | 97,743 |
2000 | 1.148 | 101,608 |
2005 | 0.928 | 104,588 |
2010 | 0.951 | 107,862 |
2015 | 0.791 | 110,779 |
2020 | 0.631 | 113,165 |
2024 | 0.493 | 114,621 |
2025 | 0.459 | 114,915 |
2026 | 0.42 | 115,177 |
2030 | 0.284 | 115,917 |
2035 | 0.162 | 116,330 |
2040 | 0.081 | 116,418 |
2045 | 0.009 | 116,313 |
2050 | -0.048 | 116,072 |
2055 | -0.103 | 115,633 |
2060 | -0.157 | 114,879 |
2065 | -0.217 | 113,808 |
2070 | -0.277 | 112,405 |
2075 | -0.336 | 110,685 |
2080 | -0.372 | 108,723 |
2085 | -0.393 | 106,648 |
2090 | -0.393 | 104,562 |
2095 | -0.404 | 102,507 |
2100 | -0.433 | 100,392 |
Data from US Census International Database