Dominica Rate of Natural Increase

The rate of natural increase (RNI) in Dominica, which represents the difference between the crude birth rate and crude death rate, is relatively low compared to many of its Caribbean neighbors. As of recent estimates, Dominica’s RNI hovers close to zero or is slightly negative, reflecting low birth rates and an aging population, as well as significant emigration. In contrast, neighboring countries such as Saint Lucia and Saint Vincent and the Grenadines generally have slightly higher RNIs, though these too are modest compared to global averages, due to similar demographic trends of declining fertility and outward migration. Meanwhile, countries like Haiti, though geographically nearby, exhibit a much higher RNI, driven by higher birth rates and a younger population structure. This comparison highlights Dominica’s demographic challenges, including population stagnation and potential decline, which differ from the more robust natural population growth seen in some of its regional counterparts.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19851.70873,109
19901.64170,010
19951.32171,422
20000.86470,872
20050.78772,398
20100.75473,216
20150.72573,968
20200.62574,522
20240.52274,661
20250.48774,642
20260.45874,599
20300.31574,169
20350.14573,032
20400.00871,328
2045-0.1369,142
2050-0.30166,443
2055-0.4863,679
2060-0.59261,488
2065-0.62859,633
2070-0.63457,782
2075-0.6455,977
2080-0.66454,181
2085-0.65452,416
2090-0.59450,806
2095-0.50449,432
2100-0.41648,318

Data from US Census International Database