Anguilla Rate of Natural Increase

Anguilla’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between its crude birth rate and crude death rate, expressed as a percentage—is relatively low compared to many of its Caribbean neighbors. As of recent estimates, Anguilla’s RNI hovers around 0.7% per year, reflecting modest population growth driven by a low birth rate and a similarly low death rate. In contrast, neighboring islands such as Saint Kitts and Nevis and Saint Martin exhibit slightly higher RNIs, often exceeding 1%, due to marginally higher fertility rates. However, all these islands share the broader regional trend of declining natural increase, influenced by factors such as emigration, aging populations, and improved healthcare reducing mortality. While Anguilla’s RNI is positive, indicating natural population growth, it is among the lowest in the Eastern Caribbean, highlighting demographic challenges such as youth outmigration and an increasingly mature population structure.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19851.4936,967
19901.2498,410
19951.1479,845
20001.08511,426
20050.88413,111
20100.8414,748
20150.80616,390
20200.75918,066
20240.70519,416
20250.69319,753
20260.67720,089
20300.60721,425
20350.52523,061
20400.43824,636
20450.34826,132
20500.27227,546
20550.20828,881
20600.16630,154
20650.14331,388
20700.12932,605
20750.11233,807
20800.09134,984
20850.06636,125
20900.04837,229
20950.03138,307
21000.01839,357

Data from US Census International Database