Uzbekistan Rate of Natural Increase

Uzbekistan’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between birth and death rates, excluding migration—has remained relatively high compared to many of its neighbors in Central Asia. As of the early 2020s, Uzbekistan’s RNI hovers around 1.5% to 1.8% annually, reflecting a youthful population and sustained, though gradually declining, fertility rates. In contrast, neighboring Kazakhstan exhibits a lower RNI, typically below 1%, due to lower birth rates and a more rapidly aging population. Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, on the other hand, have RNI figures similar to or slightly higher than Uzbekistan, driven by even higher birth rates and younger populations. Turkmenistan also maintains a comparable RNI, though reliable data is less accessible. Overall, Uzbekistan’s RNI is among the highest in the region, signaling continued population growth, but it is part of a broader pattern of relatively high natural increase across much of Central Asia, especially when compared to the global average and to countries in Eastern Europe or Russia, where natural increase is often negative or near zero.

Data from US Census International Database