The rate of natural increase (RNI) in the Turks and Caicos Islands is relatively low compared to many of its Caribbean neighbors. As of recent estimates, the RNI—calculated as the difference between the crude birth rate and the crude death rate—hovers around 0.8% per year for Turks and Caicos. This modest growth is due in part to a combination of moderate birth rates and low death rates, reflecting improvements in healthcare and living standards. In contrast, neighboring countries such as Haiti and the Dominican Republic generally exhibit higher RNIs, often exceeding 1.2% annually, driven by higher fertility rates. Meanwhile, more developed nearby territories like the Bahamas or Bermuda may experience even lower RNIs, sometimes approaching zero or negative growth, as a result of aging populations and lower birth rates. Thus, Turks and Caicos sits in the middle range for the region, with population growth increasingly shaped by migration rather than natural increase alone.
Year | Rate of Natural Increase | Population |
---|---|---|
1990 | 2.788 | 11,514 |
1995 | 2.229 | 14,940 |
2000 | 2.024 | 19,271 |
2005 | 1.758 | 27,588 |
2010 | 1.558 | 43,214 |
2015 | 1.339 | 50,386 |
2020 | 1.079 | 56,095 |
2024 | 0.94 | 60,439 |
2025 | 0.914 | 61,504 |
2026 | 0.886 | 62,562 |
2030 | 0.794 | 66,725 |
2035 | 0.71 | 71,821 |
2040 | 0.634 | 76,817 |
2045 | 0.531 | 81,634 |
2050 | 0.398 | 86,092 |
2055 | 0.261 | 90,041 |
2060 | 0.139 | 93,448 |
2065 | 0.051 | 96,385 |
2070 | -0.002 | 98,989 |
2075 | -0.024 | 101,409 |
2080 | -0.022 | 103,779 |
2085 | -0.014 | 106,178 |
2090 | -0.01 | 108,612 |
2095 | -0.021 | 111,028 |
2100 | -0.035 | 113,374 |
Data from US Census International Database