Turks and Caicos Islands Rate of Natural Increase

The rate of natural increase (RNI) in the Turks and Caicos Islands is relatively low compared to many of its Caribbean neighbors. As of recent estimates, the RNI—calculated as the difference between the crude birth rate and the crude death rate—hovers around 0.8% per year for Turks and Caicos. This modest growth is due in part to a combination of moderate birth rates and low death rates, reflecting improvements in healthcare and living standards. In contrast, neighboring countries such as Haiti and the Dominican Republic generally exhibit higher RNIs, often exceeding 1.2% annually, driven by higher fertility rates. Meanwhile, more developed nearby territories like the Bahamas or Bermuda may experience even lower RNIs, sometimes approaching zero or negative growth, as a result of aging populations and lower birth rates. Thus, Turks and Caicos sits in the middle range for the region, with population growth increasingly shaped by migration rather than natural increase alone.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19902.78811,514
19952.22914,940
20002.02419,271
20051.75827,588
20101.55843,214
20151.33950,386
20201.07956,095
20240.9460,439
20250.91461,504
20260.88662,562
20300.79466,725
20350.7171,821
20400.63476,817
20450.53181,634
20500.39886,092
20550.26190,041
20600.13993,448
20650.05196,385
2070-0.00298,989
2075-0.024101,409
2080-0.022103,779
2085-0.014106,178
2090-0.01108,612
2095-0.021111,028
2100-0.035113,374

Data from US Census International Database