Palau Rate of Natural Increase

The rate of natural increase (RNI) in Palau is notably low compared to many of its neighboring countries in the Pacific region. As of recent estimates, Palau's RNI hovers close to zero or is even slightly negative, reflecting a very slow population growth driven by low birth rates and relatively high emigration. In contrast, nearby countries such as the Federated States of Micronesia and Papua New Guinea exhibit higher RNIs, with their populations growing more rapidly due to higher birth rates and, in some cases, lower emigration rates. For example, Papua New Guinea has an RNI above 2%, while Palau's is near 0% or negative. This demographic trend in Palau is influenced by factors such as increased access to education, family planning, and economic opportunities abroad, which collectively contribute to smaller family sizes and a stagnant or declining population, setting Palau apart from its more rapidly growing neighbors.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19901.23715,207
19951.40417,302
20000.59519,489
20050.57620,314
20100.2420,840
20150.2721,159
20200.32521,532
20240.31521,864
20250.30121,947
20260.28222,030
20300.17922,341
2035022,628
2040-0.16722,730
2045-0.27822,662
2050-0.32122,478
2055-0.32422,233
2060-0.30521,987
2065-0.29421,767
2070-0.29721,563
2075-0.33821,335
2080-0.38521,037
2085-0.41620,671
2090-0.43420,261
2095-0.42819,845
2100-0.40119,447

Data from US Census International Database