Greenland Rate of Natural Increase

Greenland’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between its crude birth rate and crude death rate—is relatively low, reflecting both a modest birth rate and a small, aging population. As of recent years, Greenland’s RNI hovers close to zero or is slightly positive, indicating very slow natural population growth. In contrast, neighboring countries such as Iceland and Canada typically exhibit higher RNIs, driven by comparatively higher birth rates and younger populations. Denmark, which Greenland is politically associated with, has an RNI similar to Greenland’s, both facing challenges of low fertility and aging demographics. Meanwhile, the Faroe Islands, another North Atlantic neighbor, often show a more robust RNI due to higher fertility rates. Overall, Greenland’s slow population growth through natural increase sets it apart from some of its neighbors, underlining demographic challenges shared with other Arctic and Nordic regions.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19901.42455,628
19951.12656,185
20000.75156,889
20050.72857,779
20100.6257,604
20150.58357,719
20200.52657,797
20240.43557,751
20250.40357,713
20260.37357,661
20300.2557,309
20350.11556,560
20400.02255,575
2045-0.02254,494
2050-0.04553,424
2055-0.05752,403
2060-0.06651,455
2065-0.08350,571
2070-0.11949,717
2075-0.18148,846
2080-0.25947,895
2085-0.32446,876
2090-0.36945,834
2095-0.38644,837
2100-0.39643,924

Data from US Census International Database