Azerbaijan Rate of Natural Increase

Azerbaijan’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between its crude birth and death rates—is moderate compared to its neighbors. As of recent estimates, Azerbaijan’s RNI is around 0.7% per year, reflecting a birth rate that exceeds the death rate but at a slowing pace due to declining fertility. This rate is higher than that of Armenia and Georgia, both of which have very low or even negative RNIs, driven by lower birth rates and significant emigration. In contrast, Azerbaijan’s RNI is lower than that of its eastern neighbor, Iran, and especially much lower than Turkey, both of which maintain higher birth rates and thus higher RNIs. Meanwhile, Russia to the north has a near-zero or slightly negative RNI, reflecting an aging population and low fertility. Overall, Azerbaijan’s population is still growing naturally, but at a rate that places it between the more rapidly growing populations of Turkey and Iran and the stagnant or declining populations of Armenia, Georgia, and Russia.

Data from US Census International Database