Algeria’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between birth and death rates, excluding migration—has remained relatively high compared to many of its North African neighbors. As of the early 2020s, Algeria’s RNI hovers around 1.5% per year, reflecting a birth rate of about 22 per 1,000 and a death rate near 5 per 1,000. This rate is somewhat higher than that of Tunisia, which has seen a significant decline in fertility and now has an RNI below 1%, and Morocco, where the RNI is also lower, around 1.1%. In contrast, Algeria’s RNI is similar to that of Libya, though Libya’s statistics fluctuate due to political instability. Compared to Egypt, which has a slightly higher RNI (about 1.7%), Algeria’s population growth is moderate. Overall, Algeria’s relatively high RNI reflects a younger population and higher fertility compared to its western neighbors, but it is not as high as some countries further south in Africa.
| Year | Rate of Natural Increase | Population |
|---|---|---|
| 1990 | 2.557 | 25,190,449 |
| 1995 | 1.96 | 28,321,697 |
| 2000 | 1.459 | 30,638,018 |
| 2005 | 1.687 | 32,917,567 |
| 2010 | 2.04 | 35,949,869 |
| 2015 | 1.926 | 39,531,363 |
| 2020 | 1.565 | 42,952,039 |
| 2024 | 1.285 | 45,315,605 |
| 2025 | 1.224 | 45,851,248 |
| 2026 | 1.168 | 46,366,320 |
| 2030 | 0.985 | 48,244,797 |
| 2035 | 0.853 | 50,313,187 |
| 2040 | 0.851 | 52,324,677 |
| 2045 | 0.78 | 54,338,351 |
| 2050 | 0.629 | 56,117,140 |
| 2055 | 0.45 | 57,467,008 |
| 2060 | 0.292 | 58,348,042 |
| 2065 | 0.185 | 58,852,312 |
| 2070 | 0.119 | 59,110,461 |
| 2075 | 0.065 | 59,198,970 |
| 2080 | 0.008 | 59,124,581 |
| 2085 | -0.052 | 58,876,383 |
| 2090 | -0.11 | 58,457,753 |
| 2095 | -0.173 | 57,866,206 |
| 2100 | -0.251 | 57,078,842 |
Data from US Census International Database