The rate of natural increase (RNI) in Sint Maarten, which measures the difference between birth and death rates, is relatively low compared to many of its Caribbean neighbors. Sint Maarten's RNI is close to zero or even slightly negative in recent years, reflecting low birth rates and an aging population. In contrast, neighboring countries such as Saint Kitts and Nevis or the Dominican Republic typically exhibit higher RNIs, driven by higher fertility rates and younger populations. This difference is partly due to Sint Maarten's status as a high-income territory with better access to healthcare and family planning, leading to lower birth rates. Additionally, Sint Maarten's population growth is more influenced by migration than natural increase, unlike some of its neighbors where natural growth remains a significant driver of population change.
Year | Rate of Natural Increase | Population |
---|---|---|
1995 | 1.481 | 31,928 |
2000 | 1.007 | 30,784 |
2005 | 0.924 | 33,674 |
2010 | 0.953 | 37,896 |
2015 | 0.851 | 40,993 |
2020 | 0.714 | 43,991 |
2024 | 0.58 | 46,215 |
2025 | 0.541 | 46,738 |
2026 | 0.494 | 47,244 |
2030 | 0.326 | 49,080 |
2035 | 0.13 | 50,943 |
2040 | -0.025 | 52,378 |
2045 | -0.146 | 53,463 |
2050 | -0.238 | 54,257 |
2055 | -0.264 | 54,876 |
2060 | -0.25 | 55,470 |
2065 | -0.206 | 56,147 |
2070 | -0.168 | 56,935 |
2075 | -0.18 | 57,756 |
2080 | -0.236 | 58,470 |
2085 | -0.307 | 58,980 |
2090 | -0.364 | 59,290 |
2095 | -0.381 | 59,487 |
2100 | -0.387 | 59,653 |
Data from US Census International Database