Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Rate of Natural Increase

The rate of natural increase (RNI) in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines is relatively low compared to some of its Caribbean neighbors. As of recent estimates, the country's RNI—calculated as the difference between the crude birth rate and crude death rate—hovers around 0.4% per year, reflecting modest population growth. This is partly due to declining birth rates and steady or slightly increasing death rates, trends common in many small island developing states. In contrast, neighboring countries like Saint Lucia and Grenada have similarly low or even slightly negative RNIs, while others such as Dominica have experienced negative natural increase due to higher emigration and aging populations. Larger Caribbean nations like Trinidad and Tobago also exhibit low or negative RNIs, whereas countries such as the Dominican Republic and Haiti still maintain higher RNIs due to higher birth rates. Overall, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines fits the regional trend of slow population growth, shaped by demographic transition and migration patterns.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19951.728108,792
20001.355107,861
20050.972106,037
20100.787104,102
20150.645102,504
20200.524101,334
20240.424100,647
20250.397100,498
20260.373100,355
20300.25499,793
20350.09598,989
2040-0.06197,954
2045-0.18796,710
2050-0.27795,383
2055-0.33993,919
2060-0.38592,232
2065-0.42590,378
2070-0.4688,398
2075-0.4886,341
2080-0.48984,269
2085-0.48482,244
2090-0.47580,293
2095-0.46478,430
2100-0.45476,648

Data from US Census International Database