The rate of natural increase (RNI) in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines is relatively low compared to some of its Caribbean neighbors. As of recent estimates, the country's RNI—calculated as the difference between the crude birth rate and crude death rate—hovers around 0.4% per year, reflecting modest population growth. This is partly due to declining birth rates and steady or slightly increasing death rates, trends common in many small island developing states. In contrast, neighboring countries like Saint Lucia and Grenada have similarly low or even slightly negative RNIs, while others such as Dominica have experienced negative natural increase due to higher emigration and aging populations. Larger Caribbean nations like Trinidad and Tobago also exhibit low or negative RNIs, whereas countries such as the Dominican Republic and Haiti still maintain higher RNIs due to higher birth rates. Overall, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines fits the regional trend of slow population growth, shaped by demographic transition and migration patterns.
Year | Rate of Natural Increase | Population |
---|---|---|
1995 | 1.728 | 108,792 |
2000 | 1.355 | 107,861 |
2005 | 0.972 | 106,037 |
2010 | 0.787 | 104,102 |
2015 | 0.645 | 102,504 |
2020 | 0.524 | 101,334 |
2024 | 0.424 | 100,647 |
2025 | 0.397 | 100,498 |
2026 | 0.373 | 100,355 |
2030 | 0.254 | 99,793 |
2035 | 0.095 | 98,989 |
2040 | -0.061 | 97,954 |
2045 | -0.187 | 96,710 |
2050 | -0.277 | 95,383 |
2055 | -0.339 | 93,919 |
2060 | -0.385 | 92,232 |
2065 | -0.425 | 90,378 |
2070 | -0.46 | 88,398 |
2075 | -0.48 | 86,341 |
2080 | -0.489 | 84,269 |
2085 | -0.484 | 82,244 |
2090 | -0.475 | 80,293 |
2095 | -0.464 | 78,430 |
2100 | -0.454 | 76,648 |
Data from US Census International Database