Norway Rate of Natural Increase

Norway's rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between birth and death rates, excluding migration—has been modest in recent years, reflecting broader demographic trends in Northern Europe. As of the early 2020s, Norway’s RNI hovers just above zero, with a birth rate of around 10 per 1,000 and a death rate close to 8 per 1,000, resulting in a slow but positive natural population growth. In comparison, neighboring Sweden and Denmark exhibit similarly low RNIs, with Sweden’s natural increase also marginally positive and Denmark’s occasionally dipping into negative territory, largely due to aging populations and low fertility rates. Finland, another neighbor, has experienced a negative RNI in recent years, as deaths have outpaced births. While all these countries benefit from high standards of living and robust healthcare, their low fertility rates and aging populations pose challenges for sustaining natural population growth, making immigration an increasingly important factor in overall population change.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19950.3464,359,102
20000.344,492,401
20050.3364,624,876
20100.4084,891,301
20150.3965,207,134
20200.4095,465,387
20240.3855,641,649
20250.3725,684,847
20260.3565,727,367
20300.2835,888,748
20350.2026,069,685
20400.1476,231,630
20450.1086,380,739
20500.0686,518,282
20550.0326,643,953
2060-0.0076,757,183
2065-0.0386,858,333
2070-0.0616,950,156
2075-0.0837,034,048
2080-0.1127,108,718
2085-0.1397,172,598
2090-0.1577,227,889
2095-0.1647,278,500
2100-0.1727,326,352

Data from US Census International Database