Malta Rate of Natural Increase

Malta’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between birth and death rates, excluding migration—is notably low and has been close to zero or even negative in recent years. This reflects Malta’s declining birth rate and aging population, a trend common in many Southern European countries. Compared to its closest neighbors, such as Italy and Tunisia, Malta’s RNI is more similar to Italy’s, which also experiences very low or negative natural increase due to low fertility and an aging demographic. In contrast, Tunisia, located just across the Mediterranean, maintains a higher RNI, driven by a younger population and higher birth rates. Thus, while Malta shares demographic challenges with other European nations, it contrasts sharply with North African neighbors where population growth from natural increase remains more robust.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19950.441378,202
20000.299394,215
20050.179406,510
20100.212417,173
20150.203434,537
20200.167457,270
20240.068469,730
20250.037471,946
20260.003473,893
2030-0.134480,049
2035-0.269484,290
2040-0.313486,347
2045-0.303488,028
2050-0.279490,187
2055-0.302492,401
2060-0.366493,457
2065-0.439492,775
2070-0.499490,470
2075-0.534487,044
2080-0.538483,250
2085-0.524479,699
2090-0.497476,744
2095-0.455474,675
2100-0.416473,630

Data from US Census International Database