Jordan Rate of Natural Increase

Jordan’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between birth and death rates—remains relatively high compared to many of its neighbors, though it has been gradually declining in recent years. As of 2023, Jordan’s RNI is estimated to be around 1.7% per year, reflecting a youthful population and moderately high fertility rates. In comparison, Saudi Arabia and Iraq have similar RNIs, with Iraq’s rate slightly higher due to higher birth rates and a younger population. Conversely, countries like Lebanon and Israel have lower RNIs; Lebanon’s rate is particularly low, even approaching zero, due to declining fertility and emigration, while Israel’s RNI, though lower than Jordan’s, remains positive due to relatively high birth rates among certain population groups. Syria’s RNI has fluctuated due to conflict and displacement but generally remains comparable to Jordan’s. Overall, Jordan’s population is growing faster than Lebanon’s and Israel’s, but at a pace similar to or slightly below that of Iraq and Saudi Arabia.

Data from US Census International Database