Jersey Rate of Natural Increase

Jersey, a Crown Dependency in the Channel Islands, has experienced a relatively low rate of natural increase (RNI) in recent years, with deaths often outnumbering births, resulting in a negative or near-zero RNI. This trend contrasts with the RNI in neighboring countries such as the United Kingdom and France, which also face low or stagnating RNIs but generally maintain slightly higher birth rates than Jersey. Like much of Western Europe, all three regions are characterized by aging populations and low fertility rates, but Jersey’s small size and limited immigration amplify the demographic impact, making its natural population growth even more subdued. While the UK and France can offset low RNIs through higher levels of net migration, Jersey’s stricter immigration controls and limited land area restrict such demographic compensation, leading to a more pronounced reliance on migration to sustain population numbers.

Data from US Census International Database