Czechia Rate of Natural Increase

The rate of natural increase (RNI) in Czechia has been low or even negative in recent years, reflecting broader demographic trends in Central Europe. RNI is calculated as the difference between the crude birth rate and crude death rate, excluding migration. In Czechia, the birth rate has declined while the death rate has remained relatively stable or increased slightly due to an aging population, resulting in a near-zero or negative RNI. This pattern is similar to neighboring countries such as Slovakia, Poland, and Germany, all of which also experience low or negative RNIs due to low fertility rates and aging demographics. However, some neighbors, like Austria, have slightly higher RNIs, though still low by global standards, while Poland has seen occasional slight increases due to government incentives for families, but these have not reversed the overall trend. In contrast, countries further east, such as Ukraine, face even more pronounced population declines, while to the south, Hungary experiences similar demographic challenges as Czechia. Overall, Czechia’s RNI reflects a regional pattern of stagnating or shrinking populations, driven by low birth rates and increasing life expectancy.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
1995-0.21110,323,830
2000-0.17610,268,900
2005-0.05510,266,924
20100.09710,550,886
2015-0.07810,643,240
2020-0.18210,698,037
2024-0.25210,705,068
2025-0.27210,701,859
2026-0.28910,696,682
2030-0.33910,660,225
2035-0.33410,602,485
2040-0.30510,558,701
2045-0.31610,520,771
2050-0.35110,470,774
2055-0.41710,395,267
2060-0.47310,288,850
2065-0.49710,163,798
2070-0.48410,039,503
2075-0.4549,929,367
2080-0.4119,839,397
2085-0.379,772,452
2090-0.3379,724,587
2095-0.319,692,495
2100-0.3059,669,421

Data from US Census International Database