Curaçao Rate of Natural Increase

Curaçao’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between its crude birth rate and crude death rate—has been relatively low in recent years, reflecting broader demographic trends in the Caribbean. As of the early 2020s, Curaçao’s RNI hovers near zero or even slightly negative, indicating that births barely outpace deaths, or the population is experiencing natural decline. This is largely due to low fertility rates and an aging population. In contrast, some neighboring countries, such as the Dominican Republic or Aruba, have slightly higher RNIs, though they too are experiencing declining birth rates. Meanwhile, countries like Haiti maintain a much higher RNI due to higher fertility rates and younger populations. Thus, while Curaçao shares the region’s trend toward slower natural growth, its RNI is among the lowest, making migration a more significant factor in its population change compared to some of its neighbors.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19951.231141,590
20000.762133,963
20050.606136,036
20100.559143,412
20150.563148,412
20200.479151,370
20240.407153,289
20250.38153,693
20260.356154,059
20300.257155,167
20350.14155,690
20400.05155,404
2045-0.016154,512
2050-0.049153,245
2055-0.061151,814
2060-0.072150,313
2065-0.102148,676
2070-0.165146,715
2075-0.258144,187
2080-0.359140,988
2085-0.446137,169
2090-0.497132,961
2095-0.532128,581
2100-0.561124,114

Data from US Census International Database