Bolivia’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between its crude birth rate and crude death rate—remains relatively high compared to some of its neighbors, reflecting its youthful population and higher fertility rates. As of recent estimates, Bolivia’s RNI is around 1.5% per year, which is higher than that of Argentina (approximately 0.7%) and Chile (about 0.8%), both of which have experienced declining birth rates and aging populations. In contrast, Bolivia’s RNI is somewhat similar to Paraguay’s (about 1.3%) and slightly lower than Peru’s (around 1.6%). While all these countries have seen gradual declines in birth rates over the past decades, Bolivia’s slower pace of demographic transition means it continues to experience more robust natural population growth, contributing to a younger median age and greater population momentum compared to its southern neighbors.
Year | Rate of Natural Increase | Population |
---|---|---|
1995 | 2.293 | 7,361,889 |
2000 | 2.254 | 8,176,787 |
2005 | 2.187 | 9,080,521 |
2010 | 1.99 | 10,024,103 |
2015 | 1.732 | 10,942,240 |
2020 | 1.323 | 11,775,350 |
2024 | 1.093 | 12,311,974 |
2025 | 1.103 | 12,436,103 |
2026 | 1.06 | 12,559,502 |
2030 | 0.89 | 13,011,110 |
2035 | 0.771 | 13,504,069 |
2040 | 0.666 | 13,940,338 |
2045 | 0.548 | 14,312,197 |
2050 | 0.401 | 14,596,934 |
2055 | 0.261 | 14,780,562 |
2060 | 0.125 | 14,863,568 |
2065 | 0.008 | 14,853,909 |
2070 | -0.102 | 14,760,406 |
2075 | -0.217 | 14,584,677 |
2080 | -0.335 | 14,326,512 |
2085 | -0.453 | 13,988,285 |
2090 | -0.566 | 13,577,635 |
2095 | -0.669 | 13,106,235 |
2100 | -0.756 | 12,588,967 |
Data from US Census International Database