Bolivia Rate of Natural Increase

Bolivia’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between its crude birth rate and crude death rate—remains relatively high compared to some of its neighbors, reflecting its youthful population and higher fertility rates. As of recent estimates, Bolivia’s RNI is around 1.5% per year, which is higher than that of Argentina (approximately 0.7%) and Chile (about 0.8%), both of which have experienced declining birth rates and aging populations. In contrast, Bolivia’s RNI is somewhat similar to Paraguay’s (about 1.3%) and slightly lower than Peru’s (around 1.6%). While all these countries have seen gradual declines in birth rates over the past decades, Bolivia’s slower pace of demographic transition means it continues to experience more robust natural population growth, contributing to a younger median age and greater population momentum compared to its southern neighbors.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19952.2937,361,889
20002.2548,176,787
20052.1879,080,521
20101.9910,024,103
20151.73210,942,240
20201.32311,775,350
20241.09312,311,974
20251.10312,436,103
20261.0612,559,502
20300.8913,011,110
20350.77113,504,069
20400.66613,940,338
20450.54814,312,197
20500.40114,596,934
20550.26114,780,562
20600.12514,863,568
20650.00814,853,909
2070-0.10214,760,406
2075-0.21714,584,677
2080-0.33514,326,512
2085-0.45313,988,285
2090-0.56613,577,635
2095-0.66913,106,235
2100-0.75612,588,967

Data from US Census International Database