Bermuda Rate of Natural Increase

Bermuda’s rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between its crude birth rate and crude death rate—is notably low, and in recent years has even been negative or close to zero. This means that Bermuda’s population is growing very slowly or even declining without considering migration. This trend is similar to many other high-income, island territories in the North Atlantic, such as the Bahamas and Barbados, which also experience low RNIs due to aging populations and low birth rates. However, compared to nearby Caribbean nations like the Bahamas, Bermuda’s RNI is generally lower, as the Bahamas maintains a modestly positive RNI thanks to slightly higher birth rates. In contrast, the United States, Bermuda’s closest continental neighbor, has a higher RNI than Bermuda, though it too has seen its natural increase slow in recent years. Overall, Bermuda’s demographic profile reflects broader trends among affluent island territories, with population growth increasingly reliant on migration rather than natural increase.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19950.68460,341
20000.57563,140
20050.60666,002
20100.39768,347
20150.30670,260
20200.21971,818
20240.15872,800
20250.14273,007
20260.12173,198
20300.03373,763
2035-0.08774,001
2040-0.20673,694
2045-0.30372,889
2050-0.36471,717
2055-0.36770,408
2060-0.33169,184
2065-0.28368,131
2070-0.25667,226
2075-0.27266,352
2080-0.3265,378
2085-0.3764,255
2090-0.41263,001
2095-0.44361,659
2100-0.46560,276

Data from US Census International Database