Antigua and Barbuda Rate of Natural Increase

The rate of natural increase (RNI) in Antigua and Barbuda is relatively low compared to some of its Caribbean neighbors. As of recent estimates, Antigua and Barbuda’s RNI hovers around 0.7%, reflecting modest population growth due to a combination of low birth rates and moderate death rates. This rate is similar to other small island nations in the Eastern Caribbean, such as Saint Kitts and Nevis and Barbados, which also experience low RNIs, often below 1%. In contrast, countries like Saint Lucia and Grenada may exhibit slightly higher RNIs, but the overall trend across the region is toward slow natural population growth, largely influenced by declining fertility rates and significant emigration. Unlike some larger Caribbean nations such as the Dominican Republic or Haiti, which have historically higher RNIs due to higher birth rates, Antigua and Barbuda’s population growth is more heavily impacted by migration patterns than by natural increase.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
19951.54668,710
20001.69775,352
20051.04981,277
20101.02986,664
20151.0192,246
20200.97898,012
20240.913102,634
20250.893103,769
20260.872104,893
20300.765109,213
20350.614114,077
20400.473118,234
20450.363121,744
20500.27124,705
20550.215127,251
20600.165129,488
20650.115131,417
20700.067133,037
20750.018134,339
2080-0.031135,313
2085-0.075135,967
2090-0.112136,340
2095-0.137136,495
2100-0.154136,506

Data from US Census International Database