Wallis and Futuna Rate of Natural Increase

The rate of natural increase (RNI) in Wallis and Futuna is notably low compared to its neighboring Pacific island countries. As of recent estimates, Wallis and Futuna experiences a negative RNI, with deaths outnumbering births, largely due to low birth rates and significant emigration. In contrast, nearby countries such as Samoa and Tonga maintain positive RNIs, driven by higher fertility rates and relatively younger populations. For example, Samoa's RNI is around 1.2% and Tonga's is about 1.1%, reflecting ongoing population growth. Wallis and Futuna's demographic situation is further compounded by out-migration to France and New Caledonia, which accelerates population decline, whereas Samoa and Tonga, despite also experiencing emigration, still see natural increases offsetting population losses. This contrast highlights Wallis and Futuna's unique demographic challenges within the Pacific region.

Data from US Census International Database