U.S. Virgin Islands Rate of Natural Increase

The rate of natural increase (RNI)—the difference between birth and death rates—of the U.S. Virgin Islands has been notably low in recent years, often hovering near zero or even negative, indicating a stagnant or declining population due to low birth rates and relatively high emigration. In contrast, neighboring Caribbean countries such as the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico (a U.S. territory) typically exhibit slightly higher RNIs, though these too have been declining due to similar demographic transitions, including lower fertility rates and aging populations. For example, the Dominican Republic maintains a positive RNI, but it is gradually decreasing as the country develops and fertility rates fall. Meanwhile, Puerto Rico, like the U.S. Virgin Islands, has experienced negative natural increase in recent years, compounded by significant out-migration. Overall, while the entire region faces slowing population growth, the U.S. Virgin Islands stands out for its particularly low or negative RNI, reflecting both demographic and migratory challenges.

Data from US Census International Database