Honduras Rate of Natural Increase

Honduras has a relatively high rate of natural increase (RNI) in its population, with an estimated RNI of around 1.6% per year as of 2023. This rate reflects the difference between the country's birth and death rates, indicating a youthful and growing population. When compared to its neighboring countries, Honduras's RNI is similar to that of Guatemala, which also has a high RNI of about 1.7%, reflecting similar demographic trends such as higher fertility rates and lower mortality. In contrast, El Salvador and Nicaragua have lower RNIs, at approximately 0.7% and 1.1% respectively, due to declining birth rates and increased emigration. Thus, while Honduras's population is growing at a moderate to high pace by regional standards, it is outpaced only slightly by Guatemala, and is growing more rapidly than El Salvador and Nicaragua, highlighting differences in demographic transitions and social factors among Central American countries.

YearRate of Natural IncreasePopulation
20052.4437,194,127
20102.0427,991,283
20151.6548,659,991
20201.3799,232,097
20241.2629,681,765
20251.239,790,452
20261.2139,898,039
20301.12110,320,557
20350.99710,819,671
20400.84111,265,038
20450.68411,638,031
20500.54111,934,762
20550.42512,161,701
20600.31712,325,291
20650.20112,422,760
20700.07612,446,247
2075-0.05712,389,249
2080-0.18612,250,968
2085-0.30812,036,918
2090-0.41511,757,814
2095-0.49711,428,885
2100-0.55211,069,148

Data from US Census International Database