Honduras has a relatively high rate of natural increase (RNI) in its population, with an estimated RNI of around 1.6% per year as of 2023. This rate reflects the difference between the country's birth and death rates, indicating a youthful and growing population. When compared to its neighboring countries, Honduras's RNI is similar to that of Guatemala, which also has a high RNI of about 1.7%, reflecting similar demographic trends such as higher fertility rates and lower mortality. In contrast, El Salvador and Nicaragua have lower RNIs, at approximately 0.7% and 1.1% respectively, due to declining birth rates and increased emigration. Thus, while Honduras's population is growing at a moderate to high pace by regional standards, it is outpaced only slightly by Guatemala, and is growing more rapidly than El Salvador and Nicaragua, highlighting differences in demographic transitions and social factors among Central American countries.
Year | Rate of Natural Increase | Population |
---|---|---|
2005 | 2.443 | 7,194,127 |
2010 | 2.042 | 7,991,283 |
2015 | 1.654 | 8,659,991 |
2020 | 1.379 | 9,232,097 |
2024 | 1.262 | 9,681,765 |
2025 | 1.23 | 9,790,452 |
2026 | 1.213 | 9,898,039 |
2030 | 1.121 | 10,320,557 |
2035 | 0.997 | 10,819,671 |
2040 | 0.841 | 11,265,038 |
2045 | 0.684 | 11,638,031 |
2050 | 0.541 | 11,934,762 |
2055 | 0.425 | 12,161,701 |
2060 | 0.317 | 12,325,291 |
2065 | 0.201 | 12,422,760 |
2070 | 0.076 | 12,446,247 |
2075 | -0.057 | 12,389,249 |
2080 | -0.186 | 12,250,968 |
2085 | -0.308 | 12,036,918 |
2090 | -0.415 | 11,757,814 |
2095 | -0.497 | 11,428,885 |
2100 | -0.552 | 11,069,148 |
Data from US Census International Database